With what?
Replying to: I won't be so sure Americans dare to bomb TSMC when they realize any -- rip2 Post ReplyForum


LCol_Yu

05/15/2023, 16:36:24




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First of all, Taiwan doesn't need any help just yet. a 300K man army can swam any seaborned invasion force. The mainland can have air superiority but no airplane in history has ever taken nor held ground.

Second, China has ~2000 SSMs in various regts. At best, the PLAAF has managed a 40 plane sortie duirng their exercises. That's a Tuesday for the US. The US flew 2000 sorties per day for 30 days during the Kuwait War. That's 60,000 air strike missions. And first day of the Iraq War, Baghdad got hit with 700+ cruise missiles, that's ~half the current Chinese SSM inventory and we're talking a Taiwan with a target desnity 120 times that of Iraq.

Even with the tonnage the US dropped on Kuwait and Iraq, the US still had to fight Medina and 73 Eastings and that's with numeric parity on the ground. And we're not even started talking ground combat in Taiwan with at best a corps size invasion force (30K men max travelling in 3 waves). Taiwan can mass 120K REGFORCE and another 180K RES.

The old saying goes. Amateurs talk strategy. Professionals think logistics.

And let's not talk about nukes. When Beijing signed the NPT in 1992, she gave access to the IAEA to her fissile material production. China stopped fissile material production in 1996, verified by the IAEA. China has enough fissile material for around 450 warheads +/- 100 warheads.

The US currently has 5000+ and at her peak, 31,000+. Nukes are not even a smart Chinese decision.






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