Re: China is not ready to end this "farce"
Replying to: Re: China is not ready to end this "farce" -- swoosh Post ReplyForum


Canis Majoris

07/31/2022, 13:17:49




Author Profile | Edit


"I might agree with u in the past, but things have changed a lot since then. Frankly I don't see any favorable outcome like peaceful reunification for China in the foreseeable future, unless Taiwan economy collapse and chaos ensue. Taiwan economy still dependent on China, but they have been diversifying. I think we took it for granted that Taiwan economy will always depend on China."

Taiwan's economic dependence on China has literally nothing to do with the military balance across the strait. It wouldn't matter a single iota even if Taiwan had ZERO economic dependence on China.


"The US is in a mission to sabotage China at every turn, and Taiwan is a big part of it. The US is using salami slicing tactics on Taiwan against China. This kind of visits will only increase in the future if China do not draw a redline. Not only by the US, but also by its allies. Before long, what seems like an aberration and a break from one China consensus, will become a normal thing. After that, it is only a matter of time before one China policy become one China one Taiwan policy. We have seen it in Lithuania recent move. Others might be tempted to do the same if there is no repercussions. More importantly, the US could learn from what happen in Ukraine, and send in massive weaponry to Taiwan. There have been talk about making Taiwan a porcupine, a fortress. If there is no redline drawn today, the US might even one day send in THAADS to Taiwan. It is better to draw a redline today, than sorry later."

LOL if it were even remotely that simple, the US would have done this a long time ago. What's preventing the US from doing that now? The fact is that the US doesn't want to get dragged into a war with China over Taiwan. If it could maintain the current status quo into eternity, it would do exactly that. If Taiwan ever feels so emboldened by the US unambiguously coming down on Taiwan's side, Tsai and her cronies could very well openly declare independence, which would prompt a Chinese invasion, which would prompt US to either back up its words with action, or else look like a coward and a fool. The US would like nothing better than for Taiwan to declare independence, just as long as it could be assured China will not attack. Of course everyone knows China WILL attack in such an instance of unacceptable escalation. But is the current row considered to be even remotely in the ballpark of such an event. Not even remotely. The House majority leader visiting Taiwan would actually NOT be a new escalation since there have been other instances of similar high level Congressional visits. Bill Frist in 2003 and Bob Dole in 1985 were both Senate Majority Leaders who went to visit Taiwan as part of a Congressional delegation.

This is absolutely the wrong red line to draw, and also the wrong time to draw that line in the first place. THAAD would probably be an unacceptable red line, but Pelosi going to Taiwan? A few missile exercises, some fighter flybys, some strong language, and that should just about cover it as far as she is concerned.






Recommend | Alert |
Where am IGo Up Go TopPost ReplyBack

Followups

�������ʿ֪ʶ��Ȩ����ʤ

Copyright Infringement Jury Trial Verdict

Copyright Infringement Lawsuit Software Jury Trial Verdict

Judge James Ware Presiding: Copyright Infringement Trial

Copyright Trial Attorney

Ninth Circuit Copyright Law - Copyright Jury Trial