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岳东晓

Zhen Zhu Wan Online Community Club of Elite Chinese

Zhen Zhu Wan Online Community Club of Elite Chinese


A week later, new cases finally drop to double digit
Replying to: A little heads up -- motif Post ReplyForum


motif

03/07/2020, 00:01:41




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New confirmed cases 99, Wuhan 74. Existing suspected cases 502, Wuhan 256. New suspected cases 99, Wuhan 46. As you can see, the existing and new suspected cases outside of Wuhan/Hubei are not toning down because stupid asses are returning from overseas, and a good number of them tested positive contributing significantly to the confirmed cases in the past week.

A noteworthy trend is the active cases where China currently has 22071 (it was 37121 in Feb 29, reduction of 15050 in one week) compared to 19759 from the rest of the world. Three more day and China will have less active cases than the rest of the world.

A few comments about the other countries. S.Korea, Iran, Italy appeared hard hit, that's because they're actively testing. China sent a small team to Iran to share experience, that's why Iran's testing are more aggressive in the past few days. In the meantime Italy have stop reporting mild cases, don't want to cause panic so they said, as you can see that's why they've higher death toll than Iran but lesser confirmed cases. The first cases of Iran and Italy have no travel history to China nor come into contact with people from China. The Italian strain showed genetic differences with the original strain from China and from the tourist who become sick in Rome. It is believed the virus was already circulating in northern Italy weeks before it was detected. Iran's was also spreading in Qom weeks before it was detected.

US has an abnormally high death rate at 5.1% against WHO's figure of 3.5% and their CDC estimated death rate of 1%. This could only mean many mild cases are not tested and included in the figure, there could be hundreds of untested cases still out there nobody knows who or where they're.

As a whole Europe now has over 7000 confirmed cases, would you believe this a week ago? Germany, France and other European countries are not slacking in their testing, unlike certain country such as Japan. See the graph below and tell me which country has the abnormal trend. That's what I'm talking about under reporting through insufficient testing.

Oh yeah, Taiwan is probably also under reporting, an Aussie returned to Brisbane tested positive but he wasn't found out in Taiwan. Similarly a Turksih flew from Istanbul to Singapore and tested positive, but Turkey has zero confirmed cases. Phillippines suddenly found two man with untraceable infection route, no travel history. Beware of Malaysia and Indonesia as well.

The kind of stupid ass I'm talking about, happy to carry infection back home. These idiots chartered flights back in drove. Some of them actually fled the epidemic in the first place, perhaps also spreading the virus outside. Now they thought China is safer than outside. There're also other foreigners particularly the Koreans who flew to China in the past week and are asked to quarantine themselves.

Related link: 截至3月6日24时全国新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情最新情况






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