However, China did not go along, and the fight was on with the United States.

At this point, it kind of gets confusing because, 1) there is no precedent for this as this is both a trade war and tech war going on at the same time, and 2) the fog of war.

Myself, all I did was try to interpret events, as actions to win such as what they do in a contest or game, but I thought the trick was to look at it like traditional warfare, what Clauswich said.

Space. Time. Mass.

Then the center of gravity. Where all the power of a army flows from.

Clearly, the center of gravity for China in the trade war was the internal economy growing at 6%.

The center of gravity for the tech war is Huawei 5G and the semiconductor industry.

There seemed to be certain advantages China had over the United States in the trade war and tech war at the start, but that was ignored by Trump and his actions against China turned out to be ineffective.

But at the time when it all started, we really did not know how the trade war or tech war would turn out exactly.

We see how the IC industry develops inside China. I am really surprised that they are advancing quickly.

Let's face a curious fact. SMIC is at 7nm close to mass production. Intel abandoned 10nm will not do it and is stuck on the 14nm chip in America.

What would mean a Chinese fab is more advanced than an American fab, lol. But I do not believe that is exactly how this would work or how this fight will be decided.

Victory for the Chinese is decoupling from American suppliers in IC.

Victory for the Americans would be to turn China into another Japan with the Plaza Accord. That was not realistic.

We can see who probably has a better shot at winning than the other side.