Theory of giving TW economic benefits will change their mind long proven wrong
Replying to: Re: Sanction would be good, but those're fringe -- swoosh Post ReplyForum


motif

01/15/2024, 22:40:10




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and counter productive. It only make them more anti-China and want to remain separated to reap more benefits. Same thing happened in Xinjiang and HK. Unprincipled suck up only back fire, never fail. And with the backdrop of US pulling all the strings behind all puppets, I mean parties, I'd say it's a lost cause. Its only purpose is to buy some time for the realistic solution.

As for cutting them off will make them diversity, this is hilarious, they already cut China off, banning virtually all goods and service from China. For example they face severe egg shortage in 2023, and China is the world largest producer of eggs which TW can import at very cheap price, just a strait away. Yet DPP regime chose to spend high cost importing from Brazil to profit their cronies. The much longer distance of transport ended up in around half of the eggs imported were rotten, not just more costly The result is anyone posting rotten egg on social media face arrest. Same story with Covid vaccine and so on. TW already diversify, at higher cost, but never mind, China will foot the bill, thanks to ECFA.

The real question of cutting them off is where will they find replacement of their largest market, ie. China? They run trade deficit with most countries except China where they reaped one trillion USD trade surplus, more than compensate for all their trade deficits. Now good luck to fill that in begging US and Japan.

Carrot and stick should apply to the same entity depending on its action, be it TW or some fringe country. Not apply carrot to TW and stick to other country, it never work this way. ECFA should end asap, without question. Even gradual ending approach beats not ending it. The only real problem is there're still naive faction in Chinese government, they'll try to drag their feet as long as possible.






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