Reminds me of this reddit post
Replying to: U.S.-China Tensions Fuel Outflow of Chinese Scientists From U.S -- swoosh Post ReplyForum


motif

09/27/2022, 16:02:09




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back when the Russia SMO broke out early this year. There're reports of harassments of Chinese scientists in US, with a godd number of mysterious death. FBI made various baseless raids and arrests only to acquit the victim after they couldn't find any evidence, in investigations that could last one or more years in which the victim lost their job and fortune even if they were acquitted. Such harassment has been happening since the Trump / Pompeo's all Chinese scholars and students are spies era, and will only intensify as the TW situation escalate. And most of the escalation will come from the US side. A few milestone to watch out, the 2024 TW election, the day when TSMC factory begin operation in US.


All Chinese Americans need to take think real hard about what is happening now...

As I'm sure you're all aware, the entire Western world is treating Russia as if it were literally Mordor. Everything Russian, from vodka to cats are being sanctioned and crucified. And it's not just the govts of the West doing this. Most of these bans are coming from private corporations hoping to virtue signal by throwing Russia and Russians under the bus.

Keep in mind: RUSSIANS ARE WHITE CHRISTIANS. You are neither. So imagine what will happen to you and your family if China were ever to take military action against Taiwan. Think hard about it.

I've scoured all the big lefty YouTube channels and the one and only "influencer" who is advocating against the wholesale isolation and economic destruction of the Russian people is Kyle Kulinsky (and I suspect that's cause he's ethnically Russian). Kim Iversen is trying to counter some of the MSM propaganda narratives, but she's only trying to be a good journalist by pursuing the truth.

If this situation were directed at China, then not a single soul on any social media or MSM platform will be trying to protect you.

Even if the US govt doesn't put you in an interment camp like they did with the Japanese, there's still 340 million privately owned guns floating around, and it only takes one to do you know what.

--

An armed unification of Taiwan is very, very likely. The speed of Chinese naval development and the overwhelming focus on amphibious landing equipment can only mean one thing.

The rumors from the inner circle in Beijing is that Xi is 100% determined to retake Taiwan before he leaves office, and the West's total inability to stop Russia in Ukraine will only further Xi's confidence. He also wouldn't stand being one-upped by Putin.

So the nightmare scenario you're facing as an ABC still living in the US is a near inevitability within this decade (Xi will likely leave office in 2027, 2032 at the latest).

----

ADDENDUM:

Some commenters have expressed doubts about the immediacy of armed unification with Taiwan.

Rest assured that I am not being hyperbolic. Let me explain what will happen and why it will almost certainly lead to a military escalation.

ONE

Tsai English's 2nd term ends in 2024. The broad consensus is that her successor will be her current VP, William Lai. In fact, this position was essentially promised to him by Tsai the DPP leadership in exchange for him dropping out of the 2020 race early.

William Lai is by far the most openly pro-formal independence leader of the DPP. His entire political career is built around this idea that the US will intervene and China will not stop the DPP from declaring formal independence. There is no one else in the DPP who is a serious contender. The KMT stands zero chance of winning.

People erroneously assume that just because a minority of the Taiwanese population support formal independence, a pro-formal independence President can never be elected. This is simply not true. If there's no viably alternative, the people will vote for Lai by default.

TWO

Confidence within the PLA is extremely high. If you follow Chinese state and social media closely, you will know that armed unification is assumed to be a near inevitability. At the very least, a peaceful unification is assumed to be implausible.

The Hong Kong riots of 2019 have dispelled any hope of peaceful unification. The myth that economic integration will induce peaceful unification has been completely shattered. Hong Kong is entirely dependent on the PRC economically, but this didn't stop the radical elements in the city from violent sedition. Clearly, economics is not going to result in unification with Taiwan.

Again, none of this is my opinion, it is a consensus that has formed since 2019.

THREE

Fewer and fewer Chinese military pundits believe that the US will intervene militarily. They draw this conclusion from the fact that the US refuses to sell Taiwan its best hardware, no F-35, no THAAD, no advanced Patriots, no nuclear submarine tech, not even their drone tech.

Japan and South Korea have both received access to most if not all of these techs, so clearly the US is willing to share if it feels that the country can hold out. The fact that it doesn't sell to Taiwan is an indication that it has no confidence in Taiwan's long term survival.

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Wars happen when both sides believe there's possibility of victory.

William Lai (like Zelensky) continues to entertain the fantasy of the American White Knight. The PLA is brimming with confidence in the inevitability of its victory, regardless of US intervention.






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