How to under report cases with a straight poker face
Replying to: Zhurong, Vietnam Mossy Frog, Supermart Empty Shelves -- motif Post ReplyForum


motif

05/21/2021, 20:50:20




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May 16 - 207 cases - 206 local + 1 imported. In reality it's 245 local, 246 total.

May 17 - 335 cases - 333 local + 2 imported. In reality it's 406 local, 408 total.

May 18 - 245 cases - 240 local + 5 imported. In reality it's 325 local, 330 total.

May 19 - 275 cases - 267 local + 8 imported. In reality it's 357 local, 365 total.

May 20 - 295 cases - 286 local + 9 imported. In reality it's 360 local, 369 total.

May 21 - 315 cases - 312 local + 3 imported. In reality it's 360 local, 363 total.

May 22 - 323 cases. Ok, it's weekend now, let's quietly make 400 cases adjustment.

In reality the adjustment would increase local cases as follow:
DateReported casesAfter Adjustment
May 16206245
May 17333406
May 18240325
May 19267359
May 20286360
May 21312349

Prior to May 15, Taiwan has about 1290 total cases, in the single week from May 15 to May 22, the cases tripled, increasing by 2552, double the total cases in the past 16 months.

Taiwan is about mid Jan 2020 in Wuhan, which did 100K tests daily back then, compared to Taiwan's about 10K tests daily. And Taiwan has the UK B.117 variant which is more infectious. Despite given 16 months, they don't seem to be prepared for it, little vaccination, positive cases asked to self quarantine at home, which they don't strictly abide, limited tests, a DPP that's more obsessed with playing political game etc.







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